Unit 8
Detecting Reasoning Errors
About this unit
The most question-rich unit in the course. You will learn to spot a wide range of logical flaws: misapplying conditional rules, drawing conclusions beyond the evidence, confusing correlation with causation, and making statistical errors. Questions often present two characters debating and ask who reasons correctly.
What types of questions will you face?
- 1Two characters interpret a conditional rule (if X then Y) — identify who applies it correctly and who commits a fallacy
- 2A character draws a conclusion from a fact or observation — identify why the conclusion is flawed
- 3A statistical claim is made — identify the error (small sample, unrepresentative data, ignoring confounding factors)
- 4A "necessary vs sufficient" condition is stated — find who correctly understands the implication
- 5Multi-condition rules are given — determine who correctly or incorrectly applies them to a specific case
Skills you will build
- Correctly applying "if P then Q" rules (and knowing what can/cannot be concluded)
- Distinguishing necessary conditions (required) from sufficient conditions (enough on their own)
- Identifying correlation vs causation errors
- Recognising hasty generalisation from a small or biased sample
- Spotting "affirming the consequent" and "denying the antecedent" fallacies
- Evaluating multi-condition rules (only if BOTH conditions are met) carefully
By the end of this unit, you will be able to
- Apply conditional logic (if→then) correctly in all its forms
- Immediately recognise the 6 most common reasoning errors tested in Selective TS
- Evaluate whether a conclusion logically follows from given premises
- Score consistently on the largest and most diverse question category in the exam
Difficulty profile
Medium difficulty (avg 3.09) with a wide range. Easy questions use simple 2-person if/then disputes. The hardest involve multi-step conditional chains and complex multi-condition rules. With 122 questions, this is the biggest unit — and one of the most important.
Exam tip: Detecting Reasoning Errors
For if-then questions: the ONLY safe conclusion from "if P then Q" is (1) P is true → Q is true, and (2) Q is false → P is false. Everything else is a fallacy. Never conclude "Q is true → P must be true."
Sample Questions
When someone counts up two groups to get a total, always ask: could the same person or thing belong to both groups at once? If yes, the total might be too high — that is the Overlap Fallacy.
Prize/award overlap questions appear regularly across NSW Selective and OC papers — easy marks once you know to look for the hidden shared member.
The examiner checks whether you can spot that two prize categories are not necessarily filled by different people, meaning the speaker's arithmetic can collapse when there is overlap.
A rule awards prizes (or points, or titles) to members of Group A and separately to members of Group B. A speaker counts them as separate people to reach a total. One option identifies that the same person might qualify for both groups.
Best approach: Read the prize rule carefully. Identify all groups that earn a reward. Ask whether one person could qualify for more than one group. If yes, the speaker has double-counted. Ignore options about feelings, fairness, or total competition size — those are off-topic distractors.
Question
In the Junior Golf Championship, prizes are given out to the players who finish first, second, and third, and to anyone who gets a hole-in-one.
Sam said: "Well, I know that one player scored a hole-in-one this year. So that means that four players will get prizes."
Which one of the following sentences shows the mistake Sam has made?
- ASome players might deserve a prize even if they didn't score a hole-in-one.
- BThe hole-in-one might have been scored by a player who finished first, second, or third.
- CYounger players might find it difficult to score a hole-in-one.
- DWe do not know the total number of players in the competition.
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Ferdinand thinks knowing a city's name is enough to find its country — but his hidden assumption is that every city name is unique. Find the option that disproves exactly that assumption.
Unwarranted assumption questions appear across all difficulty levels of NSW Selective TS — they test whether you can identify the gap between what someone says and what they quietly assume to be true.
The examiner checks whether you can extract a speaker's hidden assumption and match it to the option that directly invalidates it — rather than choosing options that are merely related to the topic.
A speaker claims they can do something (look something up, identify something, predict something) without needing extra information. Their method secretly relies on an assumption (uniqueness, completeness, consistency). One option disproves that assumption; the others are off-topic.
Best approach: Ask: what must be true for the speaker's method to work? That is the hidden assumption. Then find the option that directly shows that assumption might be false. Options about unrelated problems (name changes, countries with no cities) are distractors.
Question
Ferdinand has an atlas which he can use to look up any city in the world.
Ferdinand said: "If you tell me the name of a city, you don't need to tell me which country it's in – I can look it up in my atlas."
Which one of the following sentences shows the mistake Ferdinand has made?
- AThere are some cities which have the same name as the country they are in.
- BThere are some cities which have the same name as each other.
- CThere are some countries which do not have any cities at all.
- DThere are some cities that have changed their name.
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The rule says taller adults 'tend to' have larger feet. Monaro uses this to claim his dad's shoe size 'must' be at least 10. Kevin says that's not right. Who spotted the flaw?
Questions testing whether students notice the difference between 'tends to/usually' and 'always/must' appear regularly in NSW Selective TS. Treating a probabilistic rule as a guarantee is one of the most common reasoning errors tested — it appears in health, science, sport, and everyday statistics contexts.
The examiner checks whether students can spot the key qualifying word ('tend to') in the rule and recognise that it prevents any 'must' conclusion. Monaro makes the error of converting a trend into a guarantee. Kevin correctly notes that an exception is possible, which directly challenges Monaro's 'must.'
A rule uses soft language ('tends to', 'usually', 'generally', 'often'). One speaker draws a 'must' or definite conclusion from it. Another speaker correctly says the conclusion doesn't follow because exceptions are possible. Students must identify that the first speaker's error is treating a trend as a guarantee.
Best approach: Find the rule's strength word ('tends to' = not a guarantee). Any conclusion using 'must', 'will', or 'definitely' from a 'tends to' rule is automatically wrong. Any response using 'might', 'could', or 'possibly' is correct because it acknowledges the rule allows exceptions.
Question
| Taller adults tend to have larger feet. |
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Monaro: “Your dad wears size 9 shoes, and he’s not as tall as my dad. So my dad’s shoe size must be at least 10.”
Kevin: “No that’s not right. My dad’s feet might be bigger than your dad’s.”
If the information in the box is true, whose reasoning is correct?
- AMonaro only
- BKevin only
- CBoth Monaro and Kevin
- DNeither Monaro nor Kevin
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A school survey found that heavy bedtime readers slept fewer hours. John concludes reading stops you sleeping. But what if the sleepless students are reading to pass the time — not the other way around?
Reverse causation is one of the most common flawed-argument patterns on NSW Selective TS. Students see a correlation between two things and are shown a conclusion that picks the wrong causal direction. The correct answer always identifies that the cause and effect could be swapped.
The examiner tests whether students can (a) recognise that a correlation does not prove one specific causal direction, (b) see that poor sleep could cause more reading rather than more reading causing poor sleep, and (c) eliminate options that are irrelevant to John's logical mistake.
A survey or observation shows two things happen together (correlation). A person concludes that one causes the other. The correct answer points out that the causation could run in the opposite direction — the assumed effect is actually the cause.
Best approach: Ask: 'Could the effect actually be the cause?' Here, John assumes: reading → poor sleep. But ask: could poor sleep → more reading? Yes — people who can't sleep lie awake and read. That reversal is the mistake. Look for the option that explicitly raises this alternative causal direction.
Question
Children at John's school were asked to complete a questionnaire about their sleeping habits, to find out if they were getting enough sleep. The survey found that people who read a lot at bedtime slept fewer hours (on average) per night than people who didn't.
John: "This shows that reading at night does not help you to get to sleep."
Which one of the following sentences shows the mistake that John has made?
- AIt could be that people are reading more because they are having trouble sleeping.
- BIt could be that people who don't read as much spend more time playing computer games.
- CIt could be that some children are not allowed to stay up late reading books.
- DIt could be that some books are more exciting to read than others.
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Jake is going to the party; Robert is not. Natalie concludes Robert didn't do his homework. Daniel concludes Jake did. One of them has made a classic logic error — can you spot who?
'Whose reasoning is correct?' with a conditional rule is one of the most frequent question types on NSW Selective TS. One person always applies the contrapositive correctly (valid); the other always falls into the inverse or converse trap (invalid). Practising these patterns makes you fast at spotting which is which.
The examiner tests whether students can (a) recognise that Daniel correctly applies the contrapositive (going to the party → must have done homework), and (b) recognise that Natalie commits the inverse fallacy (not going → must not have done homework). The rule only flows one way: not done → can't go. 'Not going' does not prove 'not done'.
A conditional rule is given. Two people draw conclusions from observed facts (one uses the valid forward/contrapositive move; the other uses the invalid inverse or converse). Students must identify which person reasoned correctly.
Best approach: Write the rule and its contrapositive. Check each person's move: is it forward (P → Q) or contrapositive (NOT-Q → NOT-P)? If yes, valid. If inverse (NOT-P → NOT-Q) or converse (Q → P), invalid. Here: Daniel is contrapositive (valid); Natalie is inverse (invalid).
Question
| Jake and Robert are brothers. Their parents have told them that they will not be allowed to go to the party tonight if they have not completed their homework. |
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Natalie: "Jake is coming to the party, but Robert is not, so Robert can't have completed his homework."
Daniel: "Jake must have completed his homework."
If the information in the box is true, whose reasoning is correct?
- ANatalie only
- BDaniel only
- CBoth Natalie and Daniel
- DNeither Natalie nor Daniel
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To join the basketball team you must be 140 cm tall. Lauren grew to 141 cm. Miriam says she'll definitely be chosen. What's the mistake? The height rule is a necessary condition — it gets you through the door, but it doesn't guarantee you'll be chosen.
'Treating a necessary condition as sufficient' is one of the most tested flawed-argument patterns on NSW Selective TS. The rule establishes a threshold you must meet, but the person concludes that meeting the threshold alone is enough to guarantee the outcome.
The examiner tests whether students can (a) identify that the height rule is a necessary condition (must be 140+ to qualify) not a sufficient one (140+ doesn't guarantee selection), and (b) see that Option C directly names this gap (other factors might also be used), while Options A, B, D are irrelevant to Miriam's specific logical error.
A rule states a minimum requirement (height, age, score). A person meets the requirement and is told they will definitely succeed. The correct answer points out that the requirement is only one condition — other factors might also be needed.
Best approach: Identify the rule as a necessary condition: 'must be 140+ cm.' Ask: does meeting this guarantee selection? Not necessarily — other factors could also matter. Then look for the option that explicitly raises 'other factors might also be used.' That's Option C.
Question
Lauren wants to join her school's basketball team. To qualify, players must be at least 140 centimetres tall.
Miriam: "Lauren was 139 centimetres tall last year, but she has now grown to be 141 centimetres tall. So, she will definitely be chosen to be part of the team this year."
Which one of the following sentences shows the mistake Miriam has made?
- ALauren might not actually enjoy playing basketball.
- BThere might not be enough players to form a complete basketball team.
- CHeight might not be the only thing used to choose players for the basketball team.
- DOther sports teams might also have a height requirement.
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Matt won five chess games last week. The overall record says each player wins 'around half.' Mr Stead concludes they must have played about ten games. The word 'around' is the hidden trap — he silently upgraded an approximation to an exact 50/50 split.
'Treating an approximation as exact' is a frequent and accessible error-detection pattern in NSW Selective TS. It typically appears with words like 'around,' 'about,' 'roughly,' or 'on average.' Students who don't notice the qualifying word often pick a distractor about unusual performance (Option A) rather than the precision error.
The examiner tests whether students can spot that 'around half' is not 'exactly half.' Mr Stead's calculation (5 wins × 2 = 10 games) only works if the split is exactly 50/50. Option B explicitly names this gap, while the other options introduce irrelevant ideas.
Someone uses a known approximation ('usually,' 'roughly,' 'around,' 'on average') and then makes a precise calculation that would only be valid if the approximation were an exact value. The question asks which option names or shows this mistake.
Best approach: Identify the approximate word in the stem (here: 'around half'). Ask: does the reasoner treat this as an exact number? If yes, that is the error. Then find the option that names this exact gap — the one that says the value is an approximation, not a precise figure.
Question
Matt and Yash play chess together every day at lunch. They are at around the same skill level, and they have each won around half of the matches they've played against each other.
Mr Stead: "I can't remember how many games Matt and Yash played last week, but I know Matt won five, so they must have played about ten games."
Which one of the following sentences shows the mistake Mr Stead has made?
- AEither Matt or Yash might have played unusually well last week.
- BThe players have each won around half, not exactly half, of their games.
- CMatt and Yash may have had lots of homework last week.
- DIt doesn't matter who wins, because the important thing is that they both have fun.
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A common reasoning error is jumping from “two things happen together” to “one must be causing the other.” Your job is to name that mistake.
Correlation-versus-causation flaws appear often on Selective TS — in science, health, and everyday claims when a hidden third factor could explain both trends.
The examiner wants you to spot when evidence only shows association, not direction of cause — and when another explanation could produce the same pattern.
Someone observes X and Y occurring together and concludes X causes Y. Options offer alternative causes, irrelevant facts, or restatements of the claim.
Best approach: Ask: “Could something else cause both?” The best answer usually names a confounding factor or explains why co-occurrence does not prove causation.
Question
Dr Patel notices fewer tadpoles in a pond and more fertiliser runoff upstream this year.
Dr Patel: "Runoff must be what is killing the tadpoles."
Which sentence best shows the mistake in that reasoning?
- ATadpole numbers in other ponds might be unchanged this year.
- BFertiliser runoff can also encourage algal blooms that harm other animals.
- CPlant cover along the bank might be the same as last year.
- DMore people might also be catching tadpoles or disturbing breeding areas.
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Harder error-detection items give you a strict if-then rule and two speakers — you judge who follows the logic and who makes an illegal leap.
Two-character conditional questions recur in the harder band of Selective mocks: one person often uses the contrapositive correctly; the other confuses necessary with sufficient.
You must read the rule as an arrow (A → B), check valid forward inference, valid contrapositive (not-B → not-A), and reject affirming the consequent or assuming what the rule never states.
A school or certificate rule is quoted. Two students draw conclusions. You decide who is sound, who errs, or whether both are correct.
Best approach: Rewrite the rule clearly. For each speaker, trace their step: does it follow from the rule, or do they reverse it / fill a “silent gap”? Match the option that names the correct verdict.
Question
| Every student who receives a Gold Certificate at Ferndale School has completed all 30 required assignments. |
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Cleo: "Marcus has not completed all 30 required assignments, so he cannot have received a Gold Certificate."
Dante: "And if Priya has received a Gold Certificate, it is guaranteed that she has completed all 30 required assignments."
If the information in the box is true, whose reasoning is correct?
- ACleo only
- BDante only
- CBoth Cleo and Dante
- DNeither Cleo nor Dante
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A single "whoever did X must have Y and Z" rule looks simple — but it generates exactly one valid family of conclusions. The rest are traps dressed as logic.
"Which sentence must also be true?" questions from a single conditional rule appear in the early-to-mid band of official NSW papers — they are high-value marks once you know the contrapositive shortcut.
The examiner tests whether you can separate the valid contrapositive (not-B → not-A) from the invalid converse (B → A) and the invalid inverse (not-A → not-B). Only one option survives the test.
A statement like "whoever committed X must have had both Y and Z" is given. Four options explore different logical directions from that rule — only the contrapositive of one of the necessary conditions must be true.
Best approach: Write the rule as an arrow: Stole → Motive AND Opportunity. Check each option: does it follow the arrow in the right direction? Flip and negate to form the contrapositive. Reject anything that reverses the arrow without negating — that is always a fallacy.
Question
"Whoever stole the money must have had both an opportunity and a motive."
If this is true, which one of these sentences must also be true?
- AIf Finn had both an opportunity and a motive, he must have stolen the money.
- BIf Finn did not steal the money, he cannot have had an opportunity.
- CIf Finn did not steal the money, he cannot have had a motive.
- DIf Finn did not have a motive, he cannot have stolen the money.
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Two speakers make "if writing differs then reading differs" and "if reading is the same then writing is the same" — both look plausible, but the golden test is whether you can set up a simple equation to verify each claim.
"Whose reasoning is correct?" questions backed by a numerical scoring rule appear in the mid-band of official NSW papers — they reward students who translate the word problem into an equation before judging.
The examiner tests whether you can rearrange a sum equation (total = part A + part B) to reveal a constraint, then check whether each conditional claim follows from that constraint — and notice when two claims are secretly the same statement.
Two students scored equal totals made up of two components. Two characters each make a conditional claim about those components. You must verify which claims are valid using the equation.
Best approach: Write the equation: total_A = total_B → part1_A + part2_A = part1_B + part2_B. Rearrange to part1_A − part1_B = part2_B − part2_A. Now substitute each claim into this equation. If a claim forces a contradiction, it's wrong; if it always holds, it's correct. Also check whether two claims are contrapositives of each other — if so, they're both valid or both invalid together.
Question
| At the end of each term, Mr Chen gives scores in reading and writing to each student in his English class. These two scores are then added together to give an overall score in English for the term (for example, a student with scores of 30 in reading and 40 in writing would have an overall score of 70 in English). Last term, Sara and Mila got the same overall score in English. |
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Sara says: "If our scores in writing were different from each other, then our scores in reading must have been different too."
Mila says: "And if our scores in reading were the same, then our scores in writing must have been the same too."
If the information in the box is true, whose reasoning is correct?
- ASara only
- BMila only
- CBoth Sara and Mila
- DNeither Sara nor Mila
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When a rule says "you NEED X to do Y," having X does not guarantee Y — it only rules you out if X is missing. Will and Evie show exactly the difference between getting this right and getting it wrong.
Necessary vs sufficient condition questions appear regularly in NSW Selective TS — spotting the difference between 'required' and 'enough on its own' is one of the most tested logical skills.
The examiner tests whether you can apply a rule containing necessary conditions correctly: drawing conclusions only when a condition is absent (valid) rather than when all conditions are present (invalid).
A rule lists two or more requirements. Two people each apply the rule to a different person. One person correctly uses the contrapositive (missing condition → ruled out). The other assumes the conditions are sufficient and over-concludes. The question asks whose reasoning is correct.
Best approach: Read the rule carefully and ask: does it say "you need" or "this guarantees"? "You need X" → missing X rules you out; having X alone does not guarantee success. Evaluate each speaker separately before choosing your answer.
Question
| To become a successful architect, you need to be creative and also have excellent attention to detail. |
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Will said: "Sally is creative – she loves drawing and painting – and always checks her written work carefully. She's sure to become a great architect."
Evie said: "James enjoys writing stories and has a vivid imagination, but he struggles with detailed tasks. Architecture is probably not for him."
If the information in the box is true, whose reasoning is correct?
- AWill only
- BEvie only
- CBoth Will and Evie
- DNeither Will nor Evie
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Jack restates the rule directly. Amelia flips it around and negates both sides — that's the contrapositive, and it's always just as valid as the original. Both are right, and understanding why is one of the most powerful tools in logical reasoning.
Contrapositive questions — asking whose reasoning about a rule is correct — appear regularly in NSW Selective TS and are worth easy marks once you know the pattern: contrapositive = always valid, converse = not always valid.
The examiner tests whether students can recognise that the contrapositive of a rule is logically equivalent to the rule, and that applying a rule directly AND applying its contrapositive are both valid moves.
A box states a rule using 'only' or 'always'. Two people each draw a conclusion from the rule. One applies it directly; the other applies the contrapositive. Both are valid — the answer is 'Both' — but students must verify this rather than assuming one must be wrong.
Best approach: Write the rule as 'If A then B.' Check each person's statement: does it match A→B (direct) or NOT B → NOT A (contrapositive)? Both are valid. Reject statements that match B→A (converse) or NOT A→NOT B (inverse) — those are the invalid forms.
Question
| Monotremes are the only type of mammal that lay eggs. |
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Jack said: "If you see a mammal laying an egg, you know it must be a monotreme."
Amelia said: "And if you see an animal laying an egg, and you know it isn't a monotreme, then it can't be a mammal."
If the information in the box is true, whose reasoning is correct?
- AJack only
- BAmelia only
- CBoth Jack and Amelia
- DNeither Jack nor Amelia
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The teacher promises Autumn spots to students who missed Spring — but says nothing about Spring performers. Jarrah wrongly assumes the rule works in reverse. That silent gap is where his mistake hides.
Inverse/converse error questions appear regularly across all difficulty levels of NSW Selective TS — they test the precise difference between what a rule guarantees and what it leaves open.
The examiner checks whether students can identify that a rule covering one group (those who missed Spring) makes no claim about another group (those who performed in Spring) — and that treating the silence as an exclusion is a logical error.
A rule promises something for Group A (missed the first event). A person in Group B (performed in the first event) assumes the rule also excludes them from the promise. The correct option points out that the rule is silent about Group B — silence is not the same as exclusion.
Best approach: Write the rule as 'If NOT A, then B.' Ask: what does the rule say about Group A (did A)? Answer: nothing. A guarantee for Group NOT-A does not mean Group A is excluded. Look for the option that makes exactly this point. Ignore options about general fairness, past vs future, or preferences.
Question
Jarrah's music teacher has promised that any students who did not have a chance to perform in the Spring concert will definitely be chosen to play in the Autumn concert.
Jarrah said: "Well, I did perform in the Spring concert. So that means I definitely won't be chosen for Autumn. I'll have to find something else to do."
Which one of the following sentences shows the mistake Jarrah has made?
- AJust because anyone who did not play in Spring will play in Autumn, it does not mean that anyone who played in Spring will not play in Autumn.
- BJust because somebody is chosen for the concert, it does not mean they will actually perform.
- CJust because Jarrah was chosen to perform at a concert in the past, it does not mean he will be chosen again in future.
- DJust because someone did not perform in the Spring concert, it does not mean that they would not have liked to.
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Six county records broken, ten qualifiers — Lisa says more than half must be record-breakers. But does 6 records always mean 6 students? Not if one student broke three records. One person, many events: that's the counting trap.
Double-counting / events-vs-people errors appear regularly in NSW Selective TS detecting-errors questions — they are especially tricky because the argument sounds logical until you notice it conflates a count of events with a count of people.
The examiner tests whether students can identify that the number of occurrences of an event does not necessarily equal the number of different people involved — a subtle but important distinction in counting arguments.
A character counts how many times something happened and incorrectly treats that count as the number of people involved. The correct option points out that the same person could have caused multiple occurrences, making the true people-count potentially much smaller.
Best approach: Write out Lisa's assumption: '6 records broken = 6 different students.' Ask: could one student have broken more than one record? Yes! Option A says exactly that. Check the other options: B (records broken multiple times) doesn't reduce the student count; C (higher than usual) is irrelevant; D (record-breakers also won events) doesn't change who broke records. Only A exposes the flaw.
Question
There are two ways to qualify for the annual Grant County Athletics Championship: by winning at least three local events during the year, or by breaking a county record.
This year, 10 students from Lisa’s school have qualified for the Championship.
Lisa said: “I know that a total of six county records were broken by our students this year. So that means that more than half of our qualifiers must be record-breakers!”
Which one of the following sentences shows the mistake Lisa has made?
- ASome of the students from Lisa’s school may have broken more than one county record.
- BSome county records may have been broken more than once.
- CThe number of county records broken this year may be higher than usual.
- DSome students who broke county records may also have won three local events or more.
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Ms Walker splits her class by birthday to test whether milk improves times tables. The milk group scores higher — so milk works, right? Wrong. Children born in January are older than children born in December and may already be better at maths. The experiment was flawed before it started.
Flawed-experiment questions with confounding variables appear regularly in NSW Selective TS detecting-errors sets — they test whether students understand that a good experiment requires equally-matched groups before any treatment is applied.
The examiner tests whether students can identify that splitting groups in a non-random, biased way (birthday month = age = academic maturity) means any difference in results may come from the pre-existing difference, not the thing being tested.
A teacher or researcher runs an experiment by splitting a group in a convenient but biased way (birthday month, seat location, etc.), applies a treatment to one group, and then concludes the treatment caused a difference. The correct option points out the groups may not have been equal to begin with.
Best approach: Ask: 'Were the two groups equal BEFORE the experiment?' If the split is by birthday, age, or some other characteristic that could correlate with performance, the groups may have started differently. The correct option will say the treatment group may have already had an advantage. Reject options about irrelevant activities (C), home habits that don't create systematic bias (A), or group size when averages are used (D).
Question
Ms Walker would like to investigate whether drinking milk with lunch makes any difference to her students’ results in a times tables test. She decides to do an experiment.
She splits her class into two groups according to their birthdays. For one whole month, students who were born between January and June are given milk with their lunch, and students who were born between July and December are given juice.
After one month she gives the whole class a times tables test. On average, the students who drank milk with lunch score five marks better than the students who drank juice.
Ms Walker said: “So it’s true then – drinking milk with lunch improves children’s ability to remember the times tables!”
Which one of the following sentences shows the mistake Ms Walker has made?
- ASome of the students might drink a lot of milk or juice at home.
- BThe students who drank milk may have been better at times tables before the experiment started.
- CThe students who drank juice might do better in other kinds of activities.
- DMore of the students may have been born between January and June than between July and December.
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Ivy saw the waterfall a month ago but can't remember where she was. Annie says her brother's painting of the lookout view proves he was there more than two months ago. One of them is right — but the other is making a sneaky hidden assumption.
'Whose reasoning is correct?' questions with two speakers appear frequently in NSW Selective TS. Questions where one speaker reasons correctly and the other makes an unstated assumption are among the most common variations.
The examiner tests whether students can (a) apply a two-option elimination rule correctly, and (b) spot an unstated assumption — specifically the assumption that a painting must be created while physically present at the depicted location.
A short passage establishes two key facts (often about access or timing). Two speakers draw conclusions from those facts. One conclusion is logically airtight; the other contains a hidden assumption that may or may not be true.
Best approach: For each speaker, ask: 'Does this conclusion follow with 100% certainty from the given facts? Is there any other possible explanation?' Ivy eliminates the lookout (inaccessible for 2 months, but she saw it 1 month ago) → must be Dwarda's Crossing. Annie assumes the painting was created while standing at the lookout — but paintings can be done from memory or photos taken earlier. Annie's conclusion is not certain.
Question
| Because of all the trees around it, the waterfall at Blake’s Point can only be seen from two places: Dwarda’s Crossing, or the lookout across the valley. It’s been impossible to get to the lookout since the rope bridge fell down two months ago. |
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Ivy said: “I remember seeing the waterfall about a month ago, but I can’t remember where I was. It must have been Dwarda’s Crossing.”
Annie said: “My brother did a beautiful painting of the view of the waterfall from the lookout. That must have been more than two months ago.”
If the information in the box is true, whose reasoning is correct?
- AIvy only
- BAnnie only
- CBoth Ivy and Annie
- DNeither Ivy nor Annie
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113 red sentinels were spotted. Only 15 speckled greenbacks. Melissa concludes red sentinels are much more common. But what if one species is simply harder to see? Counting sightings is not the same as counting frogs.
Detection bias questions — where observational data is confused with true population or frequency data — appear regularly in NSW Selective TS under 'identifying mistakes in reasoning'. They are closely related to confounding-variable questions.
The examiner checks whether students can identify that observation count ≠ actual quantity, specifically when ease of detection differs between groups. Students must reject distractors that raise irrelevant issues (other locations, undiscovered species, seasonal effects) and home in on the core methodological flaw.
Two researchers count observations of two groups over time. One draws a population-level conclusion from the observation counts. Students must identify which option best describes the flaw — usually that one group is more visible, audible, or detectable than the other.
Best approach: Ask: 'Is there any reason you might observe more of one group even if both groups have the same actual numbers?' Here: if red sentinels are brightly coloured and speckled greenbacks are camouflaged, you'd record far more red sentinels even with equal populations. Then check each option against Melissa's actual claim (about THIS reserve only, about THESE two species) — options A, B, C don't address her core error.
Question
Two different species of frog are known to live on the Quilpie Nature Reserve: speckled greenbacks, and red sentinels.
Ahmed and Melissa are investigating the populations of the two species, and have done an experiment.
Ahmed said: “For a whole year, every time a frog was spotted on the reserve, we made a note of which species it was. Over the year, we recorded 113 red sentinels and only 15 speckled greenbacks.”
Melissa said: “That tells us that red sentinels are much more common on this reserve, and speckled greenbacks are actually quite rare.”
Which one of the following sentences shows the mistake Melissa has made?
- AJust because red sentinels are more common in Quilpie does not mean that they are more common in other places.
- BThere may be other species of frog on the reserve that have not been discovered yet.
- CSeasonal changes in weather may affect the two species of frogs differently.
- DRed sentinels may be easier to spot than speckled greenbacks.
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Three weather rules. One forecast. Victor thinks the indoor market proves it rained. Aidan thinks the beach proves the forecast was right. The difference? The beach has only ONE possible cause — the indoor market has two.
'Whose reasoning is correct?' questions involving conditional weather/scheduling rules with multiple possible outcomes are common in NSW Selective TS. Victor's error — ignoring a second condition that leads to the same outcome — is one of the most frequently tested reasoning mistakes.
The examiner checks whether students can track when an outcome has only ONE possible cause (making reverse-inference valid) vs MULTIPLE possible causes (making reverse-inference invalid). Victor ignores the 'might still go to the indoor market' clause in the overcast rule.
A set of if→then rules maps multiple conditions to various outcomes. Two speakers make reverse-inference claims ('if I see outcome X, condition Y must have happened'). One speaker's outcome has a single cause (valid); the other's outcome has multiple causes (invalid).
Best approach: For each speaker's claim, ask: 'Is this outcome UNIQUELY caused by the condition they name?' Build a table of which weather → which destination. Indoor market: caused by rain OR overcast → Victor's reverse inference fails. Beach: caused by sunny ONLY → Aidan's reverse inference holds. Answer: Aidan only.
Question
| The Tang family are planning a day out tomorrow. They will decide where to go based on the weather in the morning. There are three possibilities: |
|---|
| - If it’s sunny in the morning, they’ll visit their aunt who lives by the beach. - If it’s raining, they’ll go to the indoor market to do some shopping. - If it’s overcast but not raining, they will head into town. They might still go to the indoor market but they definitely won’t go to the beach. |
| The weather forecast for tomorrow morning is for sunshine. |
Victor said: “If you see the Tangs in the indoor market tomorrow, it must mean it’s been raining.”
Aidan said: “If you see them at the beach, it must mean the weather forecast was correct.”
If the information in the box is true, whose reasoning is correct?
- AVictor only
- BAidan only
- CBoth Victor and Aidan
- DNeither Victor nor Aidan
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50 excursion places go to the first 50 students to hand in slips by Friday. Megan has already handed hers in. Kate is handing in on Friday. Both think the outcome is certain. Both are wrong — and for different reasons.
'Whose reasoning is correct?' questions where BOTH speakers are wrong are common in NSW Selective TS. They test whether students accept a conclusion too quickly just because it sounds plausible — here both Megan and Kate ignore one of the two conditions needed.
The examiner tests two distinct reasoning errors in a single question: (1) treating a necessary condition as sufficient (Megan assumes handing in = definitely getting a place), and (2) misreading a deadline as exclusive of the final day (Kate assumes Friday = too late).
Two conditions are required for an outcome. Two speakers each satisfy (or believe they satisfy) one condition and incorrectly conclude the outcome is certain or impossible. Students must evaluate whether each speaker has correctly accounted for ALL conditions.
Best approach: List both conditions: (1) hand in by Friday AND (2) be in first 50. Megan satisfies condition 1 but ignores condition 2 — she might not be in the first 50. Kate misreads 'by Friday' as 'before Friday' — Friday itself is valid, and places might still be available. Both conclusions fail. Answer: Neither.
Question
| To be able to go on the school excursion, permission slips must be handed in by Friday. There are only 50 places available, and these are allocated to the first 50 students to hand in their permission slips. |
|---|
Megan said: “I’ve already handed in my slip, so I’ll definitely get a place on the excursion.”
Kate said: “I won’t be able to hand my slip in until Friday, so I won’t get a place on the excursion.”
If the information in the box is true, whose reasoning is correct?
- AMegan only
- BKate only
- CBoth Megan and Kate
- DNeither Megan nor Kate
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Six groups, 15-point threshold, Fair Play Award — Lucy adds 12 + 14 + 1 = 27 finalist teams. But she’s making a classic counting mistake. Some of those teams qualify under MORE than one condition, and she’s counting them twice.
The overlap/double-counting fallacy is one of the most frequently tested reasoning errors in NSW Selective TS. It appears whenever a character adds counts from overlapping groups and treats the total as the number of unique items.
The examiner checks whether students can recognise that 'at least one of N conditions' means qualifying teams form a UNION of groups — teams satisfying multiple conditions must be counted only once. Lucy treats the groups as completely separate, overstating the true total.
An 'at least one of several conditions' qualification rule is given. A character counts qualifying items from each condition separately and adds them. Students must identify that the addition overcounts due to teams qualifying under multiple conditions, and that the true total is FEWER (not more) than the sum.
Best approach: Spot that the rule is 'at least one of three conditions' — these groups can overlap. Lucy adds 12 + 14 + 1 = 27 without subtracting teams counted in multiple groups. If a team satisfies two conditions, it appears in two of Lucy's counts. The real total ≤ 27. Option D tempts students who recognise the overlap but get the direction wrong — overlap makes the total SMALLER, not larger.
Question
To qualify for the Kings’ County Volleyball Trophy finals, teams must meet at least one of three conditions:
- coming first or second in their qualifying group
- scoring 15 match points or more in the qualifying stages
- winning the ‘Fair Play Award’ in the qualifying stages
Lucy is looking at the qualifying results, and planning the final stage of the tournament.
Lucy said: “There were six groups, so twelve teams came first or second. Fourteen teams scored at least 15 match points. And of course one team won the Fair Play Award. So I should plan for 27 teams in the finals.”
Which one of the following sentences shows the mistake Lucy has made?
- AThe winner of the Fair Play Award may have scored fewer than 15 match points.
- BSome teams may have met more than one of the conditions, so there will be fewer than 27 teams.
- CSome teams may have scored a lot more than 15 match points.
- DSome teams may have met more than one of the conditions, so there will be more than 27 teams.
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Glen and Hayden need to qualify for the Port Sunday Canoe Race. They came third in their heat, won last year but a member has since left. Glen says getting her back is their 'only chance' — but has he missed a route?
'Missed option' errors are a staple of NSW Selective TS reasoning questions. A speaker lists two blocked routes and treats them as exhaustive, ignoring a third route that is still open. These typically appear in qualification, eligibility, or access-rule scenarios with multiple pathways.
The examiner checks whether students can (a) map all three qualification routes from the rules, (b) recognise that the wild card route is available to any team that failed routes 1 and 2 — including Glen and Hayden — regardless of whether the former member returns, and (c) confirm Hayden's conditional claim is precisely correct: if she returns, Route 2 opens and the heat result becomes irrelevant.
A set of rules gives multiple ways to satisfy a condition (qualify, enter, win, etc.). Two speakers each respond to the situation. One speaker lists two blocked paths and incorrectly concludes there are no remaining options, forgetting a third path. The other speaker makes a focused, correct conditional statement. Students must verify each claim against all the rules.
Best approach: List every qualification route before evaluating either speaker. For Glen: check whether ANY route remains open without the former member — the wild card is still available, so 'only chance' is wrong. For Hayden: test the conditional — if she returns, do they meet exactly the same members rule? Yes. Does that make the heat result irrelevant? Yes. Hayden's claim holds.
Question
| The Port Sunday Canoe Race is held once per year. There are three ways to qualify: |
|---|
| - Any team that comes first or second in a regional heat qualifies automatically. - Last year’s winning team qualifies automatically (as long as the team has exactly the same members). - One team can qualify as a ‘wild card’: this team is chosen randomly from all the teams that failed to qualify otherwise. |
| Glen and Hayden are on the same team. They are trying to qualify for this year’s race. |
Glen: “We came third in our regional heat. We won the race last year, but one of our members has left. Our only chance of qualifying is to get her to come back.”
Hayden: “If we can get her to come back, it won’t matter that we didn’t do well enough in the regional heat.”
If the information in the box is true, whose reasoning is correct?
- AGlen only
- BHayden only
- CBoth Glen and Hayden
- DNeither Glen nor Hayden
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Ticket inspectors on the Northern Intercity Railway have not caught a single person in five years. Linda says they're a waste of money. But is 'never catching anyone' a sign of failure — or success?
The deterrence-effect flaw is a recurring category in NSW Selective TS Detecting Reasoning Errors. Students are shown evidence that a system 'never does anything visible' and must recognise that the system may be WORKING precisely because it prevents the problem from arising.
The examiner tests whether students can (a) identify Linda's implicit assumption that the only value of inspectors is in catching people, (b) recognise that the deterrent value of the inspectors' presence is being ignored, and (c) distinguish this correct criticism from three distractors that are irrelevant or that actually support Linda's argument.
A safety or enforcement system (inspectors, cameras, guards, fines) has produced no visible results (no catches, no incidents). A speaker concludes the system is useless. Students must identify that the speaker has ignored the deterrence effect — the system may be preventing the problem, not just responding to it.
Best approach: Ask: 'Why has nobody been caught?' If the answer could be 'because the system stops people from even trying,' the speaker has made a deterrence error. Then check the distractors: options about the future (B) or secondary suggestions (C) don't address the main flaw. Option D sounds logical but actually supports the 'useless' conclusion if true.
Question
The Northern Intercity Railway employs ticket inspectors to check that everyone travelling on a train has a valid ticket, and catch anyone trying to ride for free. Anyone caught without a ticket has to pay a $500 fine.
In the last five years, not a single person has been caught without a valid ticket.
Linda: “That just shows that the ticket inspectors are a waste of time and money – they never catch anyone. The Railway should save the money, or employ them to do something more useful.”
Which one of the following sentences shows the mistake Linda has made?
- AFear of being caught may be the reason that nobody tries to travel without a ticket.
- BJust because nobody has been caught in the last five years does not mean they will not be in future.
- CThe Northern Intercity Railway may not have anything more useful to spend the money on.
- DJust because the inspectors have not caught anyone does not mean that nobody has travelled without a valid ticket.
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In Bolivistan, the national team playing always means flags in shop windows. Rob sees no flags and concludes the team isn't playing. Paul sees flags and concludes the team must have been playing. One of them is making a valid logical move — the other is reversing the rule.
Contrapositive vs. converse errors are among the most frequently tested conditional logic patterns in NSW Selective TS. The rule goes one way (playing → flags); the contrapositive (no flags → not playing) is always valid; but the converse (flags → playing) is a common trap that appears in about 1–2 questions per NSW practice paper.
The examiner tests whether students can distinguish between (a) the contrapositive — Rob's valid move: no flags → not playing — and (b) the converse — Paul's error: flags → playing. The key insight is that flags might appear for reasons OTHER than the football team playing, so seeing flags is not sufficient proof the team was playing.
A rule establishes a guarantee in one direction (if P, always Q). Two speakers each use the rule. One speaker sees the ABSENCE of Q and correctly concludes not-P (contrapositive). The other speaker sees Q and wrongly concludes P (converse fallacy). The rule says nothing about whether Q can occur without P.
Best approach: Write the rule as P → Q. Identify which direction each speaker uses it. Contrapositive (not-Q → not-P): always valid — use it freely. Converse (Q → P): NOT guaranteed — ask 'could Q happen without P?' If yes, the converse is wrong. Here: could flags appear without the team playing? Yes — national holidays, other events. Paul's converse is wrong.
Question
| Rob and Paul are citizens of Bolivistan. In Bolivistan, whenever the national football team is playing, shopkeepers always decorate their windows with the Bolivistani national flag. |
|---|
Rob: “That’s funny. I thought the national team were playing today, but I don’t see any flags in shop windows. I must have got the date wrong.”
Paul: “Well, I saw quite a few flags in the shops last Wednesday – that must have been when they were playing.”
If the information in the box is true, whose reasoning is correct?
- ARob only
- BPaul only
- CBoth Rob and Paul
- DNeither Rob nor Paul
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Four rules about roller-blading, roller-skating and ice-skating. Wei says Shane's years of ice-skating mean he can roller-skate. Talia says Hannah can't roller-blade so she can't roller-skate either. One of them chains the rules correctly — and Rule 3 is the key to catching the other's mistake.
Multi-rule 'whose reasoning is correct?' questions with four rules are among the trickiest versions on NSW Selective TS. They require chaining two rules forward (for the valid reasoner) AND using an explicit counter-example rule to expose the invalid reasoner's inverse fallacy.
The examiner tests whether students can (a) chain Rules 4 and 1 to validate Wei (ice-skate → roller-blade → roller-skate), (b) recognise that Talia's move (NOT roller-blade → NOT roller-skate) is the inverse of Rule 1, and (c) use Rule 3 as an explicit counter-example that confirms the inverse is invalid.
Four if-then rules about overlapping skills or categories are given. Two people draw conclusions — one chains two valid moves; the other uses an inverse or converse. One rule (like Rule 3 here) is placed specifically to confirm the invalid direction, helping students who know what to look for.
Best approach: List all four rules. For Wei: trace ice-skate → roller-blade (Rule 4) → roller-skate (Rule 1). Valid chain. For Talia: NOT roller-blade → NOT roller-skate? That's the inverse of Rule 1. Rule 3 explicitly confirms some people roller-skate without roller-blading, so the inverse fails.
Question
| The skills required for roller-blading, roller-skating and ice-skating are very similar. |
|---|
| - Anyone who can roller-blade can also roller-skate. - Anyone who can roller-blade can also ice-skate. - Not everyone who can roller-skate can roller-blade. - Anyone who can ice-skate can also roller-blade. |
Wei: "Shane has been ice-skating for years. He will have no trouble roller-skating."
Talia: "Hannah is unable to roller-blade. She won't be able to roller-skate."
If the information in the box is true, whose reasoning is correct?
- AWei only
- BTalia only
- CBoth Wei and Talia
- DNeither Wei nor Talia
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A school excursion is cancelled if fewer than 20 students sign up, OR if there aren't enough teachers (1 per 10 students). Rohan thinks 2 teachers guarantees the excursion goes ahead. Megan thinks cancellation always means too few students. Both are wrong — each forgot about the other reason.
'Two independent cancellation conditions' is a common structure in NSW Selective TS 'whose reasoning is correct?' questions. One person ignores the student condition; the other ignores the teacher condition. The key skill is finding a counter-example for each claim that exposes the overlooked condition.
The examiner tests whether students can (a) identify BOTH cancellation conditions (< 20 students OR insufficient teachers), (b) build a counter-example for Rohan (25 students + 2 teachers → cancelled despite 2 teachers available), and (c) build a counter-example for Megan (25 students + 2 teachers → cancelled due to teachers, not student numbers).
A policy has two separate conditions that must both be met. Two people each claim something about the outcome, but each person only considered one condition and ignored the other. Neither reasoning is correct. The correct answer is always 'neither'.
Best approach: List both cancellation conditions. For each person, ask: 'Is there a scenario where their condition is met but the outcome is still different from what they claim?' Rohan: 25 students + 2 teachers → cancelled (2 teachers not enough for 25 students). Megan: 25 students + 2 teachers → cancelled due to teachers, not student numbers.
Question
| A school excursion to watch a musical at the theatre is scheduled to take place next month. However, it will be cancelled if fewer than twenty students sign up for it. On top of that, even if twenty students or more sign up, there must be enough teachers to accompany them. The school's policy states that there must be at least one teacher looking after every ten students on an excursion. |
|---|
Rohan: "As long as two teachers are available to accompany the students, the excursion can still go ahead."
Megan: "If the excursion is cancelled, it must be because not enough students signed up for it."
If the information in the box is true, whose reasoning is correct?
- ARohan only
- BMegan only
- CBoth Rohan and Megan
- DNeither Rohan nor Megan
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Birds often abandon disturbed nests. Lorenzo's dad disturbed a nest — so Lorenzo says there's a 'good chance it may be abandoned.' Katarina sees an abandoned nest and says it 'must have been disturbed.' One uses the rule correctly with a hedged claim; the other reverses the logic and uses 'must.'
'Often flows forward, not backward' is a classic NSW Selective TS pattern. Students frequently choose 'both' because both speakers seem to be using the same information. The key distinction is: (1) is the direction forward (cause → probable effect) or backward (effect → definite cause)? (2) is the word 'must' justified when the rule only says 'often'?
The examiner tests whether students can (a) identify that 'often' means probabilistic, not certain; (b) recognise Lorenzo's claim as a correctly hedged forward inference; (c) spot that Katarina reverses the conditional (abandoned → must have been disturbed) even though the stem says only 'disturbed → often abandoned'; and (d) note that nests can be abandoned for reasons other than disturbance.
A stem states a conditional with a qualifier ('often', 'sometimes', 'usually'). Two people reason about it: one applies it correctly in the forward direction with appropriate hedging; the other reverses it and uses a strong word ('must', 'definitely', 'can't have'). The correct answer is 'one person only.'
Best approach: Step 1: Write out the rule as a conditional: 'If X, then often Y.' Step 2: Check each person's direction. Forward (X → maybe Y) is valid if hedged. Backward (Y → must be X) is always invalid — other causes of Y may exist, and 'often' ≠ 'certainly.' Step 3: Check the strength of the claim ('good chance it may' vs 'must').
Question
| Although many birds are fiercely territorial, they are typically very sensitive when nesting. If they feel their nest has been disturbed, they often abandon it altogether even if the female has already laid her eggs. |
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Lorenzo: "My dad accidentally disturbed a nest when he was cleaning the roof. So there’s a good chance it may now be abandoned."
Katarina: "There’s an abandoned nest in the pomegranate tree in our garden. That must have been disturbed too."
If the information in the box is true, whose reasoning is correct?
- ALorenzo only
- BKatarina only
- CBoth Lorenzo and Katarina
- DNeither Lorenzo nor Katarina
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Tim beat Leon in Heat 1. Chloe says: if Leon qualifies, Tim will too. But every participant runs TWO heats. Leon's qualifying route might have nothing to do with Heat 1. Chloe ignores Leon's second heat entirely — and that's the mistake.
'Ignoring an alternative path to the same outcome' is a NSW Selective TS error-detection pattern that frequently appears in competition or tournament contexts. The key diagnostic is whether the stem gives each participant multiple independent chances to achieve the result.
The examiner tests whether students recognise that (a) each participant runs two heats and needs top 2 in only one; (b) Chloe's logic only holds if Leon qualifies through Heat 1; (c) Leon can qualify through his second heat, bypassing the Heat 1 comparison entirely; and (d) options A, B, D all miss this core structural flaw.
A system has multiple independent routes to a single outcome. Someone reasons that because person X performed better than person Y in route 1, X will also succeed if Y does. The mistake is ignoring that Y might succeed via route 2, making the comparison on route 1 irrelevant.
Best approach: Ask: 'Does person Y have only ONE way to achieve the result, or multiple ways?' If multiple ways, then observing X beat Y in one of those ways doesn't guarantee X succeeds if Y does. Look for the option that names the overlooked alternative route.
Question
In an athletics competition there are four heats, and every participant runs in two of the heats. The finalists are all of the participants who finished in the top two in at least one of the heats.
Chloe: "Tim was faster than Leon in the first heat, so if Leon qualifies for the final, so will Tim."
Which one of the following sentences shows the mistake Chloe has made?
- ATim may not run as fast in his other heat.
- BLeon may not race against Tim again in his other heat.
- CLeon may qualify based on his performance in his other heat.
- DTim may have had more chance to practise for the competition than Leon.
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A flashing red light warns that the processor is starting to overheat. Yifan concludes no flashing means everything is fine. Ria concludes a continuous light means it has overheated. Both are wrong — the rule only defines what the flashing signal means, and nothing else.
Conditional-signal questions appear regularly in NSW Selective TS at medium and difficult levels — especially in the 'whose reasoning is correct?' format where both people misinterpret the same rule.
The examiner tests whether students can identify that a rule about one specific signal (flashing) says nothing about other states (not flashing, or on continuously). Both speakers draw conclusions the rule does not support.
A rule states what one specific signal means. Two people draw conclusions about different states — one about the absence of the signal, one about a completely different signal state. The correct answer is 'neither', because the rule covers only the one stated signal.
Best approach: Write the rule as 'Flashing → Starting to overheat.' Ask: what does the rule say about NOT flashing? Nothing. What does it say about continuous light? Nothing. Any conclusion about a state the rule doesn't cover is invalid. If both speakers go beyond the rule, pick 'Neither'.
Question
| Whenever the red light on the side of Yifan's computer is flashing on and off, it means that the processor is starting to overheat. |
|---|
Yifan said: "The red light isn't flashing at the moment, so the temperature of the processor must be fine."
Ria said: "No, that's not right. The light is on continuously – that must mean that the processor has already overheated!"
If the information in the box is true, whose reasoning is correct?
- AYifan only
- BRia only
- CBoth Yifan and Ria
- DNeither Yifan nor Ria
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Two lizard species, one key difference: Indoras never eat ants. Keira says termites are useless as a test. Jun says ants are the only way you COULD know for certain. The word 'could' makes all the difference — and both turn out to be right.
'Whose reasoning is correct?' questions with two-speaker format appear regularly in NSW Selective TS — they often contain a subtle word ('could', 'might', 'always') that determines whether a statement is correct or overstated.
The examiner tests whether students can (a) build a comparison table from factual clues, (b) evaluate each speaker's claim against the table, and (c) pay careful attention to modal words like 'could' (possibility) vs 'will' (guarantee) that change the logical force of a claim.
Two species (or groups) are described with overlapping and exclusive dietary/behavioural traits. Two speakers make claims about what test would identify the species. Students must check which tests are conclusive and evaluate whether each claim is correct, paying attention to modal language.
Best approach: Make a table: food vs species, mark yes/no for each. A food is diagnostic ONLY IF one species eats it and the other never does. Check each speaker: Keira says termites = useless (both eat them — correct). Jun says ants = the ONLY path to possible certainty (ants eaten → definite ID — correct). Notice Jun says 'could know' not 'will always know' — this makes Jun's claim accurate even though ants don't guarantee certainty if refused.
Question
| The Berruga lizard and Indora lizard are very similar. The only major difference between the two species is their diet. |
|---|
| Berrugas mostly eat termites and ants, but they will occasionally eat other insects, and even things like snails. |
| Indoras will eat almost anything if they are hungry, and they especially like termites, but they never eat ants (and in fact, ants are poisonous to Indoras). |
| Keira and Jun have rescued an injured lizard, and they want to find out which species it is. |
Keira said: “If we only feed it termites, we’ll be no closer to knowing whether it’s a Berruga or an Indora.”
Jun said: “The only way that we could know for certain would be to give it some ants.”
If the information in the box is true, whose reasoning is correct?
- AKeira only
- BJun only
- CBoth Keira and Jun
- DNeither Keira nor Jun
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Three ways to cross the Korra River, each with its own schedule and rules. Amanda thinks three consecutive ferry days means both bridges are broken. Declan thinks he can only ever cross on Sundays. Both are making absolute claims — and both can be shown wrong with one counterexample.
'Neither speaker is correct' answers are among the most challenging variants of 'whose reasoning is correct?' questions in NSW Selective TS. They appear when BOTH speakers make overly strong claims ('must', 'only ever') that each has a specific exception.
The examiner tests whether students can (a) build a full schedule table from the crossing rules, (b) find a specific counterexample to Amanda's claim (Sat-Sun-Mon requires only Archer damaged), and (c) notice that Declan's 'only ever on Sundays' fails because the ferry also runs on non-Sunday days when bridges are damaged.
A set of scheduling rules governs who can use which crossings on which days. An exception clause ('only if the bridge... is damaged') is deliberately placed to invalidate absolute claims. Two speakers each make an 'always/must/only ever' claim. Students must build a table and find counterexamples to both.
Best approach: Build a 7-day crossing table first. For Amanda: find a 3-day window where only one bridge needs to be damaged (Sat-Sun-Mon: Sunday always runs, so only Archer needs damage on Sat and Mon — not Djorlom). For Declan: notice the ferry runs on non-Sunday days when bridges are damaged, giving Declan (a pedestrian, no heights) a crossing option on those days too. Both claims fail.
Question
| There are three ways to cross the Korra River: |
|---|
| Archer Bridge is open to cars and pedestrians. It is only open on Mondays, Wednesdays and Saturdays. It is one of the highest bridges in Australia. |
| Djorlom Bridge is open to cars, but not pedestrians. It is only open on Tuesdays, Thursdays and Fridays. |
| The Korra Ferry is for pedestrians only. It is open on Sundays. It is also sometimes open on other days, but only if the bridge that would normally be open is damaged. |
Amanda said: “If the ferry operates for three days in a row, it must mean that both bridges are damaged.”
Declan said: “I don’t have a car, and I’m terrified of heights. Unless I get someone to drive me, I’ll only ever be able to cross on a Sunday.”
If the information in the box is true, whose reasoning is correct?
- AAmanda only
- BDeclan only
- CBoth Amanda and Declan
- DNeither Amanda nor Declan
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Three languages share some words, but animal words are always different between Kaiana and Sekludi. Patricia claims that a shared Mekani–Kaiana word can't be an animal. Yilin claims that a shared Mekani–Sekludi word can't be an animal. One of them is right — but which one, and why?
Language rule questions with 'whose reasoning is correct?' are a premium variant of conditional logic in NSW Selective TS. They require applying two-rule chains carefully, and the hardest type asks students to find why one speaker's chain doesn't reach the conclusion — often because the chain bypasses a key language.
The examiner tests whether students can (a) label the three languages and write rules as if-then statements, (b) trace Patricia's two-step chain (M+K → also S by Rule 1 → now K+S → not animal by Rule 2), (c) recognise that Yilin's M+S path bypasses Kaiana so Rule 2 never fires, and (d) construct a counterexample (animal word same in M and S but different in K) to disprove Yilin.
A set of language or membership rules describes shared words between groups. One rule says 'if in A and B, then also in C.' Another rule says 'A and C never share X-type items.' Two speakers each make a conditional claim. One speaker's chain correctly triggers both rules; the other's chain skips a group and never reaches the blocking rule.
Best approach: Label languages with letters. Write Rule 1 as M+K→S and Rule 2 as K+S→not animal. Trace Patricia: M+K →(R1) in S → now in K+S →(R2) not animal. Correct. Trace Yilin: M+S → is the word in K? Not stated → Rule 2 never fires → counterexample exists. Then confirm Patricia only.
Question
| The three languages of Mekani, Kaiana and Sekludi are quite similar to each other, and they have some words in common. For example, ‘kanu’ means ‘house’ in all three languages. |
|---|
| Any word that is the same in Mekani and Kaiana is also the same in Sekludi. |
| Kaiana and Sekludi have lots of words in common, but never words for animals. Words for animals are always different. |
Patricia: “If a word is the same in Mekani and Kaiana, it can’t be an animal.”
Yilin: “If a word is the same in Mekani and Sekludi, it can’t be an animal.”
If the information in the box is true, whose reasoning is correct?
- APatricia only
- BYilin only
- CBoth Patricia and Yilin
- DNeither Patricia nor Yilin
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Scrub jays move their buried nuts when watched — but only if they've stolen before. Logan says this means they can predict who'll steal. Kimberley says movers must have been stolen from. Both are wrong, but in completely different ways.
'Neither person is correct' is the hardest variant of the 'whose reasoning is correct?' question type on NSW Selective TS. Both errors are subtle and different: one upgrades reactive behaviour to predictive ability; the other swaps the direction of theft (thief vs victim).
The examiner tests whether students can (a) distinguish reactive behaviour (moving nuts when watched) from predictive ability (knowing which bird will steal), catching Logan's error; and (b) distinguish 'previously stolen from others' (thief) from 'had its own nuts stolen' (victim), catching Kimberley's error.
A scientific discovery gives two conditional facts. Two people each draw a conclusion that oversteps the given information — one by inferring additional cognitive ability, one by reversing the direction of a relationship. Neither conclusion actually follows from the stated facts.
Best approach: For Logan: ask 'does reactive behaviour when watched = predictive ability?' No — moving nuts when anyone watches is a precaution, not prediction. For Kimberley: compare 'stolen from others' (Fact 2's actual words = thief) vs 'had its own nuts stolen' (Kimberley's claim = victim). Different roles → Kimberley is wrong.
Question
| Scrub jays are a species of bird that will bury some of the nuts they collect in order to save some food for later. |
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| Scientists studying the species made an interesting discovery: |
| - Some scrub jays move nuts they bury if they see other scrub jays watching them bury the nuts the first time. - It is only those scrub jays who have previously stolen nuts from other scrub jays that move their nuts. |
Logan: "That means a scrub jay must be able to predict which other scrub jays will steal its nuts."
Kimberley: "If a scrub jay moves a nut it has buried, you can be sure it has had its nuts stolen before."
If the information in the box is true, whose reasoning is correct?
- ALogan only
- BKimberley only
- CBoth Logan and Kimberley
- DNeither Logan nor Kimberley
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Players are dropped 'usually' for poor play and 'sometimes' for poor attendance. Katya plays well but is being dropped. Kylie says she must be missing training. Fiona says perfect attendance + better play would definitely save her. The word 'usually' is the trap for both.
'Non-exhaustive list' errors are among the trickiest 'whose reasoning is correct?' questions on NSW Selective TS. Both people appear to reason correctly — but they both treat 'usually' and 'sometimes' as 'only,' which is the shared hidden flaw. The answer is always 'neither' in these cases.
The examiner tests whether students notice that 'usually' and 'sometimes' signal a non-exhaustive list of drop reasons. Kylie uses elimination (not reason 1 → must be reason 2) that only works if the list is complete. Fiona uses a sufficiency claim (neither reason → definitely safe) that also only works if the list is complete.
A stem gives two reasons for an outcome, using 'usually' and 'sometimes' (or 'often' and 'occasionally'). Two people draw opposite-type conclusions from a specific case. Both conclusions rely on the list being exhaustive, but the qualifying words prove it isn't.
Best approach: Highlight the qualifying words: 'usually' and 'sometimes.' These mean neither reason is guaranteed to be the only reason. For Kylie: she eliminates reason 1, concludes reason 2 must be it — but a third reason could exist. For Fiona: she eliminates both reasons, concludes safe — but a third reason could still apply. Both wrong → answer is D.
Question
| When players are dropped from the school football team, it is usually because the coach thinks they have not been playing well enough. Sometimes a player will be dropped for not attending training every week. |
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Kylie: "The coach said she's going to drop Katya, even though she's been playing well! She can't have been coming to all the weekly training sessions."
Fiona: "If she came to the sessions and started playing even better, the coach definitely wouldn't drop her."
If the information in the box is true, whose reasoning is correct?
- AKylie only
- BFiona only
- CBoth Kylie and Fiona
- DNeither Kylie nor Fiona
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