Unit 5
Weakening Arguments
About this unit
Read an argument and find the statement that most seriously undermines, contradicts, or exposes a flaw in its reasoning. You will learn to spot the hidden assumptions every argument makes — and find what would prove those assumptions wrong.
What types of questions will you face?
- 1A statistic or comparison is used to draw a conclusion — find what shows the comparison is unfair
- 2A cause-and-effect claim is made — identify the evidence that shows correlation, not causation
- 3A proposal or recommendation is given — find what would make it ineffective or counterproductive
- 4A generalisation is drawn — find the counterexample or hidden factor that undermines it
- 5A "success story" argument is made — identify what alternative explanation weakens the conclusion
Skills you will build
- Identifying the hidden assumption that an argument depends on
- Recognising when a sample is too small or unrepresentative
- Spotting alternative explanations for an observed outcome
- Understanding how context (e.g. population size) can make a statistic misleading
- Evaluating the relevance of each answer option to the specific argument made
By the end of this unit, you will be able to
- Identify the weakest point in any argument quickly and reliably
- Spot when a conclusion goes beyond what the evidence actually supports
- Recognise the classic logical pitfalls: cherry-picked data, false comparisons, unsupported generalisations
- Apply critical thinking to arguments across health, science, policy, and everyday life
Difficulty profile
Medium difficulty (avg 3.17). These questions are harder than Strengthening Arguments because you need to understand the argument deeply enough to find what would break it. Some involve subtle statistical traps.
Exam tip: Weakening Arguments
Ask: "What does this argument ASSUME to be true?" Then find the answer that shows that assumption is false or unreliable. The weakening answer doesn't have to disprove the conclusion — it just needs to cast serious doubt.
Sample Questions
Weakening-arguments questions test whether you can spot a hidden assumption — then pick the option that breaks it, not just something that sounds opposite.
Direct “which statement best weakens…” items appear regularly on Selective TS — often as a reliable mid-paper mark when you name the claim first.
The examiner wants you to identify the argument’s conclusion and find evidence that undermines the link the speaker relies on (e.g. correlation → cause), not a vague counter-fact.
A short argument jumps from an observation to a cause or policy. Four options are plausible; only one attacks the reasoning the argument actually needs.
Best approach: State the claim in one sentence. Ask what must be true for it to hold. Eliminate options that are true but irrelevant or that attack the wrong link. The winner should make the conclusion less convincing.
Question
Students who participate in school sports teams perform better academically than those who do not. Therefore, participating in sports improves academic performance.
Which of the following, if true, most weakens the argument?
- AStudents with better academic performance are more likely to be selected for sports teams.
- BSports require physical fitness and a strong work ethic.
- CSome sports teams hold training sessions outside of school hours.
- DSchools with sports teams often employ more experienced teachers.
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Harder weakeners often hide a numbers trap: more total cases does not always mean higher risk for each person.
Base-rate / denominator flaws show up in the harder band of Selective argument questions — the same structure as “more accidents on path A” or “more cracked screens on phone Z.”
You must see that raw counts need context (how many people use each option). The correct weakeners expose the missing denominator or an alternative explanation for the totals.
A report compares totals between two groups and concludes one is “more dangerous” or “worse” per user. You pick the fact that shows the comparison is unfair or misleading.
Best approach: Ask: “Could the bigger number simply be because more people use that option?” Find the option that supplies usage rates, population size, or time exposed — not just another scary statistic.
Question
A tech magazine published a report showing that in the last year, 10,000 "Z-Phone" users reported a cracked screen, while only 1,000 "X-Phone" users reported a cracked screen. A blogger wrote: "The X-Phone is clearly more durable. If you want to avoid a broken screen, you should definitely choose an X-Phone over a Z-Phone."
Which one of these statements, if true, most weakens the blogger's argument?
- AThere are 5 million Z-Phones currently in use, but only 50,000 X-Phones in use.
- BZ-Phones have a larger screen than X-Phones, making them easier to drop.
- CThe cost of repairing a Z-Phone screen is higher than repairing an X-Phone screen.
- DMost X-Phone users also buy a protective heavy-duty case for their device.
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Gabriella says zoos should be banned — animals belong in the wild. Then option C quietly points out that some species only exist today because of zoo breeding programs. If they were banned, those animals wouldn't be in the wild. They'd be extinct.
Short, two-premise weakening questions appear regularly at the easier end of NSW Selective TS — they are reliable marks for students who correctly identify the argument's main claim and find the option that challenges it most directly.
The examiner tests whether students can identify the argument's core claim ('captivity is always wrong') and find the option that presents a compelling exception — rather than picking options that are merely related to animals/zoos but don't challenge the conclusion.
A short argument claims an activity (e.g. zoos, logging) should be banned because it causes harm. Options include: benefits to humans (irrelevant to animal welfare argument), partial improvements (weak), a conservation/necessity argument (strong weakener), and evidence of harm (accidentally strengthens). The correct answer gives a compelling reason why banning the activity would cause even greater harm.
Best approach: Name the conclusion: 'Zoos should be banned.' Name the premise: 'Captivity is wrong.' Look for the option that says captivity can sometimes be NECESSARY or JUSTIFIED — that's always the strongest weakener for this type. Watch out for option D which sounds related but actually supports Gabriella. And remember: human convenience (A) doesn't address an animal welfare argument.
Question
Gabriella says that zoos should be banned, because it is wrong to keep wild animals in captivity.
She says that animals should have the right to live in their natural habitats.
Which one of these statements, if true, most weakens Gabriella's argument?
- AZoos provide an opportunity for humans to see wild animals without having to go on safari.
- BModern zoos try to ensure animals are given some exercise and stimulation.
- CSome wild animal species would die out completely if they were not bred in captivity.
- DWild animals kept in confined spaces can display extremely distressed behaviour.
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The principal wants to add non-competitive sports to PE. But couldn't you argue students would lose fitness? This question tests whether you can spot the statement that removes that exact objection.
'Strengthen by removing the main objection' is one of the most common strengthening patterns on NSW Selective TS. You are given an argument with an obvious gap or likely counter-argument, and the correct answer directly fills or defeats that gap.
The examiner tests whether students can (a) identify the main objection to the principal's proposal (non-competitive sports might be less beneficial for fitness), (b) see that Option B defeats this objection by showing equal fitness benefits, and (c) eliminate options that weaken, are irrelevant, or only weakly support the argument.
A person proposes a change or policy. A potential counter-argument (implied) lurks in the background. Four options are given: one weakens, one is irrelevant, one vaguely supports, and one directly removes the main objection. The correct strengthener always targets the biggest gap in the argument.
Best approach: Ask: 'What is the strongest objection someone could make to this argument?' Then look for the option that directly answers or defeats that objection. Here, the strongest objection is 'non-competitive sports aren't as good for fitness.' Option B answers it exactly.
Question
The principal of a school says, "PE classes should include non-competitive sports such as bushwalking and dance, and not just focus on competitive sports like football and tennis. Many students do not enjoy playing against their friends and classmates, as it often leads to unhealthy rivalries."
Which one of these statements, if true, most strengthens the principal's argument?
- APlaying a competitive sport is a great way to learn the importance of teamwork.
- BNon-competitive sports are just as effective as competitive sports at improving fitness.
- CPE classes are compulsory for students to attend.
- DStudents like to have a range of different sports that they can choose to play.
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Ying says we should switch from palm oil to soybean oil to save rainforests. But does switching actually fix the problem? One option exposes a fatal flaw in her solution.
'Undermines the proposed solution' is one of the most tested weakening patterns on NSW Selective TS. The argument proposes a specific alternative or remedy; the correct weakener shows that the alternative suffers from the same problem the argument was trying to solve.
The examiner tests whether students can (a) identify Ying's hidden assumption that soybean oil is a rainforest-safe alternative, and (b) see that Option C directly destroys this assumption by showing soybean production also destroys rainforests. Options A and D are irrelevant to the core goal; Option B is about general usage trends, not about rainforest impact.
An argument proposes switching from X to Y to solve a problem. The correct weakener shows that Y causes the same (or similar) problem, meaning the switch doesn't actually help. The wrong options are irrelevant facts about the products, their popularity, or other issues.
Best approach: Identify the argument's goal (save rainforests) and the proposed solution (use soybean oil instead). Then ask: 'Does any option show the solution fails to achieve the goal?' Option C — soybean production also destroys rainforests — directly shows the solution doesn't work.
Question
Ying thinks we should all buy soybean oil instead of palm oil for cooking. "I found out that growing palm oil trees requires vast areas of rainforests to be cut down," Ying says. "To help save the rainforests and the animals that live in them, we must stop buying palm oil."
Which one of these statements, if true, most weakens Ying's argument?
- APalm oil is also used in bath products such as shampoo.
- BPeople are using less oil in cooking than they used to.
- CGrowing soybeans also involves the destruction of rainforests.
- DPalm oil is more frequently listed in recipes than soybean oil.
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An argument says space exploration wastes government money and that scientists' work would be 'more useful if it made life better here on Earth.' Which option proves that space science already does exactly that?
'Weaken by providing a counter-example to the hidden assumption' is a core NSW Selective TS pattern. The argument relies on an unstated claim (space science yields no Earth benefits). The correct weakener directly disproves this by citing a real Earth benefit — aviation safety — that came from space research.
The examiner tests whether students can (a) identify the argument's hidden assumption ('space science doesn't help life on Earth'), (b) see that Option B provides a direct counter-example (aviation safety improvement), and (c) reject Option C (which supports the argument), Option D (other-planets benefit ≠ Earth benefit), and Option A (about education, irrelevant).
An argument concludes that X is a waste of time/money, supported by the implicit assumption that X has no practical benefits. The correct weakener cites a specific, practical benefit of X that directly contradicts this assumption. Wrong options support the argument, are irrelevant, or only address space benefits rather than Earth benefits.
Best approach: Find the hidden assumption: 'space science provides no benefits to life on Earth.' Then look for the option that provides a concrete Earth benefit from space science. Option B (aviation safety from space scientists' work) is a direct, real-world Earth benefit. Match it to the exact claim in the stem: 'their work would be more useful if it made life better here on Earth.'
Question
Space exploration is a waste of time. When governments spend money on sending people into space, there is less to spend on helping people in need and on improving services for everyone. Scientists say that when they do experiments in space, they learn more about the universe. But their work would be more useful if it made life better here on Earth.
Which one of these statements, if true, most weakens the above argument?
- AGovernments worldwide are increasing levels of education spending.
- BWork by space scientists on aviation has increased the safety of flying.
- CThe 1969 Moon landing cost over 280 billion dollars in today's money.
- DExperiments on plants in space have shown how we could grow them on other planets.
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The passage says memorising facts is pointless because doctors just Google everything. Sounds convincing — until you ask: could a doctor even understand what they Google without years of training? That one question unravels the whole argument.
'Hidden assumption' weakeners appear regularly in NSW Selective TS at medium difficulty — they are among the most rewarding question types to master because the correct option always attacks something the argument never actually proves.
The examiner tests whether students can identify what an argument silently assumes, then pick the option that challenges that assumption — rather than picking an option that merely relates to the topic or attacks a side detail.
A longer passage argues that some activity is unnecessary (e.g. memorising, formal study, training) because a technology or shortcut exists. One option directly attacks the hidden assumption linking the shortcut to the conclusion; the others are tangential, strengthen the argument, or only challenge minor details.
Best approach: Name the conclusion: 'Learning is unnecessary because of the internet.' Ask: what does the argument need to assume for this to work? (That you can use online info without background knowledge.) Find the option that says that assumption is false. Also check: does any option accidentally strengthen the argument? (Option B does — more info online = even more reason to rely on internet.)
Question
What is the point in spending time and effort learning things when you can just look them up on the internet? Even doctors these days now find themselves using Google when they want to try to decide what is wrong with a patient. Was it really necessary for them to have spent years studying science and medicine, when the information can now be found online in an instant? As technology progresses, and as more and more people have access to the internet, it surely becomes more and more of a waste of time gaining knowledge. Memorising facts should become a thing of the past.
Which one of these statements, if true, most weakens the above argument?
- ASome doctors do not use the internet to assist them with their work.
- BThere is more information on the internet than any one human would be able to memorise.
- CPeople need some existing knowledge in order to make sense of information they find online.
- DIn many jobs, practical skills are more valuable than knowing a lot of facts.
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Natalie warns Olivia that more crashes happen between 4 pm and 7 pm, so she's more likely to be hurt then. But is a higher total number of crashes the same as a higher risk for each driver?
Rate vs. absolute number is one of the most tested weakening argument patterns on NSW Selective TS. Students are given a statistic about totals and must recognise that the real measure of individual risk is the rate — crashes per driver, not crashes overall.
The examiner tests whether students can (a) identify the hidden assumption that more total crashes equals higher personal risk, (b) see that Option A (more drivers on the road) directly defeats this assumption by explaining why totals are higher, and (c) eliminate distractors: B is irrelevant ad hominem, C accidentally supports the argument, and D only challenges the practical usefulness of the advice, not the logic.
An argument cites a higher raw total (crashes, injuries, accidents) during a specific time or place and concludes that individual risk is higher. The correct weakener provides information about the denominator (more drivers, more participants, more activity) that explains the higher total without implying higher personal risk.
Best approach: Identify the hidden assumption: 'Higher total crashes = higher personal risk.' Then look for the option that provides a different explanation for the higher total — specifically, that more people are participating during that period. This leaves the rate per person unchanged or even lower, directly undermining the conclusion.
Question
When Olivia got a car, her cousin Natalie said to her: “More people are injured in car crashes between 4 pm and 7 pm than at other times.
This means you should be more careful driving then, as you are more likely to be hurt in a crash.”
Which one of these statements, if true, most weakens Natalie's argument?
- AMany more people drive between 4 pm and 7 pm than at other times.
- BNatalie has never driven a car herself.
- CPeople can still have car crashes even when they are driving carefully.
- DOlivia has no choice but to drive at that time, because she finishes work at 5 pm.
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The argument says medieval glass is thicker at the bottom because glass flows very slowly over centuries. One option introduces ancient glass from Egypt and Greece — which is far older — that shows NO thickening at the bottom. If glass truly flows, older glass should show the effect more, not less.
'Counter-example to the key evidence' is one of the most powerful weakening patterns in NSW Selective TS. The correct weakener doesn't attack the general claim directly — it attacks the single piece of evidence the conclusion depends on, by producing an observation the theory cannot explain.
The examiner tests whether students can (a) identify that the conclusion rests on one key piece of evidence (medieval glass thicker at bottom), (b) reason that if glass flows, even older glass should show more thickening, (c) see that option D produces exactly the opposite — older glass shows none — which shatters the evidence, and (d) reject distractors that are irrelevant or actually support the argument.
An argument uses a single observation as its key evidence for a cause. A weakener introduces a parallel case where the same cause should produce an even stronger effect — but doesn't. This 'counter-example' shows the cause can't explain the observation.
Best approach: Ask: 'What is the one piece of evidence this argument depends on?' Here it's: medieval glass is thicker at the bottom. Then ask: 'Which option shows this evidence doesn't support the conclusion?' Option D does — if glass flows over centuries, ancient glass should be even more thickened. The fact that it isn't means the cause is wrong.
Question
‘Solid’ glass can actually be better described as a slow-moving liquid. The particles in glass can move, just like in a regular liquid, because they are not fixed in an orderly structure. In glass, this movement is so slow that it cannot be detected during a person’s lifetime or even over the course of several generations. Medieval window glass which has survived to the present day is often found to be thicker at the bottom than at the top. This clearly shows that glass flows.
Which one of these statements, if true, most weakens the above argument?
- AGlass can be melted and melted glass, like every liquid, flows and obtains the shape of the vessel into which it is poured.
- BThe human eye cannot detect tiny differences in the thickness of glass.
- CModern buildings such as skyscrapers are often constructed from glass.
- DGlass objects from Ancient Egypt or Greece which have remained untouched for millennia are not thicker at the bottom than at the top.
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