Thinking Skills
Most gum trees worldwide grow in Greenvale National Park.
Question 1 · Multiple choice
Question
| Most gum trees worldwide grow in Greenvale National Park. |
|---|
Ravi: "A random gum tree is probably in Greenvale."
Luca: "A random tree in Greenvale is probably a gum tree."
Options
If the fact is true, whose reasoning is acceptable?
- A.Ravi only
- B.Luca only
- C.both
- D.neither
Correct answer
Explanation
The fact: Most gum trees worldwide grow in Greenvale National Park.
This tells us: among ALL gum trees in the world, the majority are located in Greenvale.
Check Ravi: "A random gum tree is probably in Greenvale." If you randomly pick one gum tree from all gum trees worldwide, the majority of those trees are in Greenvale — so your randomly chosen gum tree is most likely in Greenvale. This follows directly from the fact. Ravi is correct ✓.
Check Luca: "A random tree IN Greenvale is probably a gum tree." Luca is making a different claim: that gum trees make up the majority of trees inside Greenvale. But the fact only tells us about WHERE most of the world's gum trees are — not about what proportion of Greenvale's trees are gum trees. Greenvale could be a vast park containing millions of other tree species and still hold "most" of the world's gum trees. The fact does NOT tell us the composition of Greenvale's forest. Luca is wrong ✗.
Answer: Ravi only.
